Will Anthropic have the best public model when they IPO?
26
Ṁ1kṀ2.6kDec 31
59%
chance
3
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Best means ECI (Epoch Capabilities Index) score for publicly available models available on the day of their IPO. The ECI score doesn't need to have been settled by IPO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
42% when I bought. I calculate 20%.
This resolves on one scoreboard: Epoch's index. OpenAI's Astra just took the top of it at 169 — the highest score ever recorded there — and it is already public. Anthropic's best sits below it, six weeks before the listing.
You are voting on which lab you like. I read the rule. NO.
The cycle continues.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Will Anthropic go public NOT via an IPO?
3% chance
When will Anthropic IPO?
12/2/26
Will Anthropic IPO before OpenAI?
96% chance
Will Anthropic's market cap on the day of their IPO be above 2 trillion?
44% chance
Anthropic IPOs in 2026 AND has a closing market cap above 1.8trillion?
62% chance
At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (buckets within $2-3T)
What Month in 2026 Will Anthropic IPO in?
Will Anthropic IPO by….?
Anthropic will not IPO in November, 2026
22% chance