Will a Iranian warship be destroyed in the ports blockade before April 30th
19
Ṁ100Ṁ557Apr 29
43%
chance
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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to YES if at least one Iranian warship is confirmed as destroyed by U.S. military or official Iranian government sources, or verified by major international news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, Reuters, BBC), between April 13, 2026, and 11:59 PM ET on April 29, 2026, explicitly as a result of an engagement related to the U.S. naval blockade.
The market will resolve to NO if no such destruction occurs within this timeframe.
Official reports and statements from U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) will be prioritized as the primary sources for verification.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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