Who will win the GD Politics 2028 Republican Primary Draft (Mar 2026 version)
6
αΉ100αΉ1392028
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
50%
Galen Druke
25%
Clare Malone
25%
Nate Silver
Galen Druke, Nate Silver, and Clare Malone did a live 2028 Republican Primary Draft in March 2026. This will resolve to the winner according to their own rules. If a winner is announced, I will use that; otherwise I'll do my best to score it myself. I will not trade on this market.
The scoring rules:
25 points - becomes nominee at convention
5 points - officially run
5 points - make it to first state
3 points per state/territory/Democrats Abroad won
2 bonus points after Super Tuesday (I think this is per state won after Super Tuesday)
1 bonus point for winning a swing state
10 points for picking last (Clare)
5 points for picking second (Nate)
The picks:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Who will win the GD Politics 2028 Democratic Primary Draft (Jan 2026 version)
Who will win the 2028 Republican primary?
Who going to be the Republican 2028 candidate?
Who will win at least one state in the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries?
Who will be major candidates in the 2028 Republican primaries?
Who will win the 2028 Way-Too-Early Democratic Primary Draft on Silver Bulletin?
Will there be a competitive Republican primary in 2028?
59% chance
Who will be the next Republican candidate for 2028?
Who will be the Republican nominee for President in 2028?
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?