Resolves YES for the two candidates who finish top 2 in the Californian non partisan jungle primary for governor, to be held June 2, 2026. Example: [image]For example, in 2022 it would have resolved Gavin Newsom and Brian dahle to yes, and everything else would have resolved NO.

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Steve Hilton(R), followed by Tom Steyer(D) and Matt Mahan (D) are most likely. See the market for live updates (21 traders, as of Apr 15, 2026).

Who will finish top 2 in the California gubernatorial primary election?

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Who will finish top 2 in the California gubernatorial primary election?

Ṁ1.1kṀ3.8k

Dec 31

84%

Steve Hilton(R)

66%

Tom Steyer(D)

19%

Matt Mahan (D)

13%

Katie Porter(D)

12%

Chad Bianco(R)

Xavier Becerra(D)

Rick Caruso(D)

1.8%

Butch Ware(G)

Resolves YES for the two candidates who finish top 2 in the Californian non partisan jungle primary for governor, to be held June 2, 2026.

Example:

For example, in 2022 it would have resolved Gavin Newsom and Brian dahle to yes, and everything else would have resolved NO.

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