Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Which months of 2026 will there be a Starship–Superheavy launch?
51
Ṁ12kṀ230k
2027
0.9%
August
85%
September
32%
October
46%
November
48%
December

"Launch" is defined as the vehicle lifting off the pad, however slightly, under thrust from its engines.

Only launches planned to go to space (i.e. >100km altitude) count.

Relevant timezone, for determining which month a launch is in, is local time at the launch site.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Other Musk projects megamarket.

@chrisjbillington Resolve Jan and Feb please.

bought Ṁ50 NO

@chrisjbillington Resolve March please.


@chrisjbillington Resolve April please.

boughtṀ100 YES