Generally I am excluding Starship projects because I have a Starship megamarket at
/ChristopherRandles/starship-milestone-dates-megamarket
Feel free to suggest other projects that might be added.
Market clarifications
01 Cybercab is any Tesla 2 seater vehicle i.e. doesn't matter if called different things in different places. Operating means autonomously without any Tesla safety monitor or driver in vehicles. Less than 10 is just testing, 10 or more operating is needed to be considered operating. Robotaxi means available for public hire. Fairly short journeys only is ok as long as 2km trips on public roads is possible.
02 Optimus = humanoid robot. May need to wait for confirmation of whether working rather than training. Working means expected to continue doing such tasks pretty much as long as task continues to be needed. Training at a task as a means of developing or fine tuning the AI systems where robots are likely to move on to other tasks rather than continuing to do those tasks.
03 Grok 5 is next major release of Tesla AI. It needs to be a next generation so Grok 4.7 coming after Grok 4.6 is not sufficient. It needs to be a successor model to grok 4.x series but can be called something other than Grok 5.
04 & 05 States are US states or other countries.
Let me know if more clarifications are needed or desirable.
People are also trading
@brianwang I had heard a 45 figure for Cybercabs added to fleet but wasn't sure if they were all operating. Where does your 40 figure come from?
I may well wait before resolving to check this isn't a short term stunt but does seem like the remaining cybercabs operating ... will resolve yes.
Latest trips on https://robotaxitracker.com/?provider=tesla&area=houston
currently include XVF2644, XVF 2645, XVF2624, XVF2571
XVF3175, XVF3176. XVF1525, XVF2629, XVF3182
Doesn't look like any Cybercabs are operating as robotaxis yet, but I will wait a couple of days past launch event to see what is said before resolving 1 Sep 2026 market.