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MANIFOLD
Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem?
19
Ṁ125Ṁ307
Dec 31
31%
OpenAI
35%
Google
22%
Anthropic
3%
Harmonic
9%
Other

Resolves to the first lab to release a solution which is subsequently verified to a previously-unsolved Clay Institute Millennium Prize problem.

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How does this market resolve when 2026 ends and no lab has solved any Millenium problems, as is basically guaranteed to happen?

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