Resolution criteria
The market resolves YES if FSD (Supervised) is generally available to EU customers in a majority of EU member states (≥14/27), via Tesla’s normal purchase/subscription flow, with a substantially similar feature set to the contemporaneous U.S. “FSD (Supervised)” release.
“Generally available” excludes employee-only access, invitation-only programs, or small pilots limited to a city/region or a tiny capped fleet.
The market resolves NO otherwise (including if only “Enhanced Autopilot”-style features are available).
Primary source for resolution: Tesla release notes / official Tesla communications for EU rollout, supplemented by reputable reporting if needed.
Feel free to comment for improving the criteria.
1,000https://x.com/teslaeurope/status/2034872940542800361
"Together with RDW, we have officially completed the final vehicle testing phase for Full Self-Driving (Supervised) and have submitted all documentation required for the UN R-171 approval + Article 39 exemptions. The RDW team is now reviewing the documentation and test results package internally. They have communicated the expected approval for Netherlands date of 4/10, shifting from 3/20 previously and we look forward to successful completion of this cooperation.
Following the Netherlands’ approval, European countries will be able to recognize this approval nationally. We are anticipating a possible EU-wide approval during the summer."
Tesla FSD (Supervised) could be approved in the Netherlands next month: Musk
https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-fsd-supervised-approval-netherlands-next-month-musk/