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MANIFOLD
What will the Conservatives' change in number of council seats in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections be?
1
Ṁ175Ṁ55
May 7
-380 seats
expected
4%
Below - 600
31%
- 600 to - 451
40%
- 450 to - 301
17%
- 300 to - 151
4%
- 150 to - 1
4%
Above - 1

Resolves at (seats after - seats before). A negative resolution means that they lost seats, a positive resolution means that they gained seats.

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At the start of April there are about 20,000 seats, 1000 seats is 5% of that. Things are unusually turbulent this cycle, with a strong possibility of the government not being simply Labour or Conservative.