
OpenAI Stock
16
Ṁ1kṀ1.6k2030
64%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves NO if they're largely irrelevant
Resolves YES if they are market leader or duopoly (eg with Deepmind, as it once seemed)
Resolution in 2025-2030 timeframe.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Sort by:
(broken manifold too..:)
back to 19th century link technology—
Thesis: they’ll be first to everything but never ship good products, have zero moat, and are all mind-virus infected
(Also a certain executive has consistently midwit twitter takes)
DeepMind ships 10x the volume, Stability leverages open-source, and the labs have actual commercial people around vs. needing a thousand people to release one model per year
Will they even be talked about by 2028?



