Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Nuclear weapon explosion in Taiwan through 2029
8
Ṁ190Ṁ329
2030
9%
chance

Multiple major western news outlets such as the BBC, Wash Post, etc. must report that a nuclear weapon has exploded on or near (<10miles) Taiwan's main island, any time through end of 2029

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!