Is Satoshi Nakamoto alive?
24
Ṁ1kṀ2.2k2045
48%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Who will the documentary "Finding Satoshi" name as Satoshi Nakamoto?
Will any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?
Will we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?
25% chance
Will the upcoming documentary "Finding Satoshi" actually find Satoshi?
9% chance
If Satoshi is alive in 2025, was (s)he at Bitcoin 2024?
69% chance
Is Satoshi Nakamoto a single person?
72% chance
Is Peter Todd Satoshi Nakamoto?
2% chance
Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
56% chance
Who is Satoshi Nakamoto? (resolves at 90% confidence)
Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
33% chance
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will the documentary "Finding Satoshi" name as Satoshi Nakamoto?
Will any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?
Will we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?
25% chance
Will the upcoming documentary "Finding Satoshi" actually find Satoshi?
9% chance
If Satoshi is alive in 2025, was (s)he at Bitcoin 2024?
69% chance
Is Satoshi Nakamoto a single person?
72% chance
Is Peter Todd Satoshi Nakamoto?
2% chance
Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
56% chance
Who is Satoshi Nakamoto? (resolves at 90% confidence)
Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
33% chance