If this person is elected president in 2028, will the Insurrection Act be formally invoked by January 21st 2032?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ502032
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
50%
Marco Rubio
34%
Gavin Newsom
34%
JD Vance
24%
Alexandria Ocasio Cortez
Resolves YES if this person became president of the United States after the 2028 US election, and the insurrection act is invoked by January 21st 2032 (the point at which their term would expire per the Constitution). Resolves NO if they were elected president and it isn't invoked. Resolves N/A if they weren't president at any time (winning the election but not being inaugurated also resolves N/A for that person, and YES/NO for whoever actually becomes president).
If they resign and the Insurrection Act is invoked in this interval, still resolves YES (e.g. if they resign, their VP becomes president, and their VP invokes it).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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