How will the United States be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026?
11
Ṁ100Ṁ1.6k2027
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
5%
Liberal democracy
92%
Electoral democracy
3%
Electoral autocracy
0.5%
Closed autocracy
Resolves at the classification of the United States according to the Regimes of the World data, up to now published by V-DEM, in 2026.
Currently, the United States is classed as a liberal democracy, as it has been since 1969.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Which of the (Economist Index) US democracy categories fell in 2025?
How will the United States be classed by Regimes of the World in 2027?
How will the United States be classed by Regimes of the World in 2028?
How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026?
How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2027?
How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2028?
Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?
44% chance
Will the US become more authoritarian or more democratic in 2026?
Will the United States become more authoritarian in 2026?
68% chance
Will the world become more authoritarian in 2026?
60% chance
Sort by:
@ChurlishGambit I misread the year, this is the market for democracy 2026 (which will be published in next year's V-DEM report)
bought Ṁ200 NO
V-Dem's published their report: https://v-dem.net/documents/75/V-Dem_Institute_Democracy_Report_2026_lowres.pdf
The US is listed as "Electoral Democracy"
People are also trading
Related questions
Which of the (Economist Index) US democracy categories fell in 2025?
How will the United States be classed by Regimes of the World in 2027?
How will the United States be classed by Regimes of the World in 2028?
How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026?
How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2027?
How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2028?
Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?
44% chance
Will the US become more authoritarian or more democratic in 2026?
Will the United States become more authoritarian in 2026?
68% chance
Will the world become more authoritarian in 2026?
60% chance