Does GPT-5.2 use a different base model than GPT-5.1?

Question

I would resolve the market to "Yes" if GPT-5.2 used a different pretrain than GPT-5.1. This market may be resolved using insider knowledge that I hear from friends that work at OpenAI. In this case, there will be no public citations for my resolution.

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 40% chance (10 traders, as of Apr 10, 2026).

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