California's 12th District margin of victory
4
Ṁ250Ṁ3412027
63%
Lateefah Simon, 50+ pts
44%
Lateefah Simon, 55+ pts
69%
Lateefah Simon, 45+ pts
34%
Lateefah Simon, 60+ pts
82%
Lateefah Simon, 40+ pts
24%
Lateefah Simon, 65+ pts
89%
Lateefah Simon, 35+ pts
93%
Lateefah Simon, 30+ pts
94%
Lateefah Simon, 25+ pts
94%
Lateefah Simon, 20+ pts
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/midterm-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ca12lsim
Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
Kalshi's rules: If Lateefah Simon wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 12th District by 50 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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