Massachusetts's 1st District margin of victory
2
Ṁ225Ṁ952027
48%
Neal, 27+ pts
50%
Neal, 30+ pts
50%
Neal, 24+ pts
50%
Neal, 33+ pts
73%
Neal, 21+ pts
22%
Neal, 36+ pts
50%
Neal, 18+ pts
50%
Neal, 15+ pts
50%
Neal, 12+ pts
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov/midterm-margin-of-victory/kxmidtermmov-ma01d
Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
Kalshi's rules: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Massachusetts's 1st District by 27 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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