Which episode of Black Mirror is 2025 most likely to resemble?
Which episode of Black Mirror is 2025 most likely to resemble?
3
325Ṁ712026
20%
13%
Hang the DJ
9%
Nosedive
9%
Metalhead
8%
The Waldo Moment
8%
The National Anthem
8%
Shut Up and Dance
5%
USS Callister
4%
San Junipero
4%
Arkangel
4%
Fifteen Million Merits
4%
The Entire History of You
4%
White Christmas
Inspired by @cloudprism's market, except this one actually has a chance to resolve! Resolves to poll at market close. To be valid for resolution, episodes must have been released before 2025.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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📆What will happen in 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]