Which of the following will feature in a Season 7 Black Mirror episode? [add answers]
Which of the following will feature in a Season 7 Black Mirror episode? [add answers]
9
650Ṁ13822027
85%
A religious cult
76%
Living in a simulated world with LLM-like hallucinations/inconsistencies
66%
Significant wealth/class disparity
59%
Human gene selection or manipulation
54%
Artificial wombs
49%
Robots hard to distinguish from humans
37%
LLM-powered viewer interaction with the plot
20%
Refugee crisis
17%
Food shortage
15%
Setting where Apple Vision Pro-like headsets are mandatory
15%
Drone warfare
2%
Water shortage
1.4%
Prediction markets
1.1%
Decarbonisation / degrowth
All parts will resolve to NA if Season 7 is cancelled or does not air by 2027.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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