What will the margin of victory be in the 2025 New York City Democratic mayoral primary?
11
175Ṁ2807
resolved Jul 24
Resolved
YES
More than 12 points
Resolved
YES
More than 12.25 points
Resolved
YES
More than 12.5 points
Resolved
YES
More than 12.75 points
Resolved
NO
More than 13 points
Resolved
NO
More than 13.25 points
Resolved
NO
More than 13.5 points

Resolves based on the ranked-choice voting margin of victory in the final round.

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@traders I've resolved this market. All votes have been counted and Mamdani won by 12.78 points.

bought Ṁ10 NO

https://enr.boenyc.gov/rcv/026916_1.html

July 8 update: Margin is now 12.42%, seems pretty unlikely to change further

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