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MANIFOLD
What will be the margin in the 2026 New York Gubernatorial election?
8
Ṁ150Ṁ197
Dec 31
8%
Republican win
12%
Dem +0 to Dem+10
41%
Dem +10 to Dem +20
26%
Dem +20 to Dem +30
6%
Dem+30 to Dem +40
6%
more than Dem +40

  • Update 2025-11-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If an independent candidate wins, the market will resolve to N/A.

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Does it n/a if independent wins

@JackP I think that's the best option.