This market resolves NO in a year.
15
101Ṁ12692026
1.5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I'll ask @FairlyRandom to generate a random number between 1 and 20 (inclusive). If the result is 20, this market will resolve YES. If the result is less than 20, this market will resolve NO. I'll use a suitable alternative if @FairlyRandom isn't available.
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This market resolves NO in a year.
3% chance
This market has a ~49% chance of resolving as YES in early 2026
49% chance
This market stays open forever.
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6% chance
This market has a 5% chance of resolving YES, and otherwise stays open forever
79% chance
Resolves YES on Jan 1 2029
98% chance
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This market resolves NO in a year.
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