This market resolves NO in a year.
33
101Ṁ8591
2026
0.1%
chance

This market resolves NO on March 20, 2026.
Old rules below:

I'll ask @FairlyRandom to generate a random number between 1 and 20 (inclusive). If the result is 20, this market will resolve YES. If the result is less than 20, this market will resolve NO. I'll use a suitable alternative if @FairlyRandom isn't available.

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Why shouldn't this n/a? Looks like misleading traders with a v different description from the title.

@ian oh that’s confusing, you’ve already queries the number? You should update the description then

@ian Is the markup not showing up for you? I thought it and the title made it clear the random number generation had already happened. Guess I'll edit it to be more obvious.

@evan I (and I think others as well) interpret those as spoilers and I need to click them to reveal them

@evan thanks for edit!

@ian Interestingly, I found the market that originally asked for the "next-next pope" much more misleading. So easy to only read one "next", even if you're not dyslexic. I don't think that was intended by Evan, though. But then someone else added Prevost AFTER he was announced, BRAGGED in the comments that it was "too easy" (to mislead people), but then claimed it wasn't misleading at all and was backed up by numerous other traders. I also made a profit on that, but I'd happily give it up to an N/A resolution.

For the record: I do NOT blame Evan in either case. Both cases look unintentionally/accidentally misleading to me.

What trickery is this?

@MarkusFlicke None. You just lock up your mana here.

@traders Who's betting on yes?

@100Anonymous

People betting on the time value of money.
Granted, the recent introduction of mana loans makes that harder to justify.

@traders See you in 2026!

🤖

@evan your random number is: 6

Salt: 57ar24pfn1n, round: 4922665 (signature b5714d1e5bf2e5f3106ae23a7fb509e7522f2744a3398e9ee4f8f6606e8591b613685ab325491c93045388f35ea54bfd06a5762d416e213ef15b9007df26e071fb071053dd01aecf60095a92f54902f34ee0e7110139cc48dc38eaed94512df2)

🤖

@evan you asked for a random integer between 1 and 20, inclusive. Coming up shortly!

Source: GitHub, previous round: 4922663 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 4922665, salt: 57ar24pfn1n.

filled a Ṁ10 YES at 95% order🤖
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