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MANIFOLD
Will the US withdraw from AUKUS under Trump?
7
Ṁ1kṀ850
2029
51%
chance

The pentagon has launched a review of the AUKUS nuclear submarine deal:

https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/trump-administration-launches-review-biden-era-defense-pact-with-australia-uk-2025-06-11/

Resolves YES if the US withdraws from the pact, or substantially downgrades its involvment in it, while Trump is president.

As this could easily fall into a grey zone, I will not place any bet in this market. If the outcome is ambiguous, I will rely on a combination of sources and trader input to determine whether the Trump administration effectively "withdrew the US from AUKUS".

The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
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