Will the US withdraw from AUKUS under Trump?
4
1kแน1302029
44%
chance
4
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The pentagon has launched a review of the AUKUS nuclear submarine deal:
https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/trump-administration-launches-review-biden-era-defense-pact-with-australia-uk-2025-06-11/
Resolves YES if the US withdraws from the pact, or substantially downgrades its involvment in it, while Trump is president.
As this could easily fall into a grey zone, I will not place any bet in this market. If the outcome is ambiguous, I will rely on a combination of sources and trader input to determine whether the Trump administration effectively "withdrew the US from AUKUS".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump threaten to cancel AUKUS before 2029?
85% chance
Will Donald Trump exclude Australia in the steel tariffs by June 2025?
13% chance
Will the U.S. Pull Out of NATO by June 30? ๐บ๐ธ
Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency?
21% chance
Will Trump withdraw from NATO in 2025?
6% chance
Will the United States (US) withdraw from NATO by December 31, 2028?
28% chance
Will Trump withdraw the US from the USMCA before the end of his second term?
36% chance
Will the US withdraw military support from Israel before 2030?
13% chance
Trump Wins 2024 x Will the United States abandon its policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?
Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?
23% chance