Will Tesla’s upcoming RoboTaxi have an optional steering wheel or pedals? 🚗⚡️🔋🔌🤖🦾
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2027
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Tesla is set to unveil their RoboTaxi in a few months: 8/8/2024

Elon said this to the RoboTaxi team in 2022: (Excerpt from Walter Isaacson’s biography )

Let me be clear. This vehicle must be designed as a clean robotaxi. We’re going to take that risk. It’s my fault if it fucks up. But we are not going to design some sort of amphibian frog that’s a halfway car. We are all in on autonomy.”

RESOLUTION

  • resolves no if the robotaxi has no optional steering wheel or pedals (ie allowing the option of a driver to take control instead of being fully autonomous)

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Tesla's upcoming robotaxi aims to revolutionize transportation by deploying fully autonomous vehicles for ride-sharing services. Utilizing advanced AI and self-driving technology wheel alignment and balancing near me these robotaxis promise enhanced safety, efficiency, and convenience. With Tesla's continuous innovation in electric vehicles and autonomous driving capabilities, the robotaxi project represents a significant step towards widespread adoption of autonomous vehicles, potentially reshaping urban mobility and reducing dependence on traditional car ownership.

This makes no sense. Robotaxi is a concept, not a type of vehicle. The cars on the roads today will become robotaxis when the software is complete. The next generation vehicle will come in both forms, with a steering wheel and without.

@NiklasBergstrom ye Robotaxi as a term is fairly broad, but that’s why I reference Elon’s tweet to a specific car he will unveil that he refers to as “Tesla Robotaxi”

@elf Gotcha. A yes just means they show the car without a steering wheel.

Seems probable enough.

Is this a market about whatever is revealed in August, or about something that’s eventually on the road?

@DavidFWatson i would be shocked if it wasn't about what the upcoming robotaxi will actually be like

opened a Ṁ50 NO at 75% order

@Bayesian Right, but he can put whatever he wants up on a stage in a presentation, but that’s not gonna be identical to what’s eventually on the road.

@DavidFWatson Like, this market doesn’t currently say “resolves n/a If no announcement in August”

@DavidFWatson It’ll be based on what will actually be on the road. I figure that’s best as it’s possible the car will diverge from its pre-release design as it has to meet economic and regulatory constraints.

@elf uhh, either you're going to wait to see what's actually deployed, or you're going to resolve based on what's announced. I don't see how there's a middle ground.

@DavidFWatson what is the middle ground? I said it will be based on what’s on the road (i.e. what’s deployed)

@elf But what if he announces something called the model T in August, and it has no steering wheel, and then 2 years later no such vehicle is available for use.

Do you resolve n/a? Do we wait? How long?

What if they then launch a robotic taxi service with vehicles that aren’t purpose built for it?

@DavidFWatson This market makes way more sense if it’s based on the August presentation directly. Do they unveil a robotaxi with no steering wheel? If the presentation is canceled, resolve n/a

@DavidFWatson On second thought, I think you’re right.

I should have made that distinction more explicitly in the description & given that it’s at 75% now I think people have taken it to assume what’s specifically shown at the reveal event.

Will now resolve based on whatever we see in August.