Will a Tour de France have Vingegaard, Pogacar, Roglic and Evenepoel competing against each other?
17
89
310
2030
81%
chance

Resolves YES if all of Jonas Vingegaard, Tadej Pogačar, Primož Roglič and Remco Evenepoel start stage 1 riding for 4 different teams.

Resolves NO whenever one of them retires.

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bought Ṁ20 of YES

Also, absolutely crazy that it seems quite likely to happen in the very first year after this market was created. At the time of creation, Roglic was still signed to TJV for a couple more seasons.

predicts YES

I guess I'd also be interested in a 2024 specific version of this, now that it seems all four are planning to attend.

predicts YES

@Eliza now that they are on different teams this is the question for 2024:

bought Ṁ30 of YES

@egroj Oh. I couldn't find it because I searched for "Roglic" and that doesn't work when the title has "Roglič"

predicts YES

@Eliza oh yeah, that's my bad, I thought that I had changed all those titles, I'll search again to see if there are more titles with the non-anglicized spelling and change them.

I like that you searched for Roglic 😂 it's your intuition telling you that he's the man for this Tour, now that Jonas' team is weaker and that Tadej will not be recovered from the Giro. Only half-kidding 😉