Primož Roglič has a history of crashes leading to withdrawals in major races, including the 2024 Tour de France and the 2025 Giro d'Italia.
This market has two necessary resolution criteria for YES:
(1) whether he will crash; and
(2) whether he will abandon
in the the 2025 Tour de France.
If he abandons without crashing, this resolves NO. If he crashes but does not abandon, this resolves NO. If he neither crashes nor abandons, this resolves NO.
Resolution will be based on official race reports and reputable news sources.
Update 2025-07-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For a YES resolution, the crash and the abandon do not need to be causally related. The two events can happen independently of each other during the race.
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@Eliza I don't think he's crashed yet. No need for a direct line of relation. Both conditions can be fulfilled independently.