Did US life expectancy increase for the Native American population in 2022?
26
closes Oct 1
71%
chance
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Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ14 +40%
New probability
72% +0.5%
Resolves YES if the provisional life expectancy at birth estimate for the non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native population in 2022 is strictly larger than the final estimate for 2021 as reported by the National Vital Statistics System.
The provisional life expectancy for 2021 was 65.2 years (https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/vsrr/vsrr023.pdf). I will update the description when the final estimate for 2021 is available. However, this market will resolve based on the provisional estimate for 2022 (likely released by August 2023).
For reference life expectancy for this population has decreased each year since 2019.
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