Will commenters agree the answer to the snibgiblets probability problem is 1/36?
9
210Ṁ896
resolved Aug 10
Resolved
NO

You have some real number of snibgiblets. The pope has precisely 36 times as many snibgiblets as you. We want to convert your number of snibgiblets into a percentage of the pope's number. When your number of snibgiblets is zero, what is that percentage?

(Clarification: We can't divide zero by zero but we can take a limit. As your snibgiblet count goes to zero, what is your percentage in the limit?)

Argument for 0%: If you have zero snibgiblets then that's 0% of any other number of snibgiblets.

Argument for 100%: If you have zero snibgiblets then you have exactly as much as someone else with zero.

Argument for 1/36: Say your snibgiblet number is x. By definition the pope's number is 36x. So we want the limit as x goes to 0 of x/(36x) which is 1/36.

Resolution Criteria and FAQ

  1. I will not trade in this market because the resolution will be subjective.

  2. I will hide any comment that doesn't, in my estimation, exude good faith.

  3. If all the remaining comments agree on 1/36 then this resolves YES. If anyone genuinely disagrees and can articuate why, this resolves NO.

Please ask for clarifications I've missed before trading!

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