2024/2025 NBA regular season prop bets
52
6.2kṀ55k
May 17
99%
Jayson Tatum makes first team All NBA
99%
SGA wins MVP
97%
A Cleveland Cavalier player makes All-NBA first team
1%
Alperen Sengun makes first or second All-Defensive Team
1%
KAT makes 1st team All NBA
1%
Nikola Jokic wins MVP
Resolved
YES
Lakers win at least 48 games
Resolved
YES
Overall 1 seed team wins at least 66 games
Resolved
YES
At least three coaches are fired before the season ends
Resolved
YES
Payton Pritchard is top 5 in made 3-point field goals
Resolved
YES
Nikola Jokic leads the league in Player Efficiency Rating
Resolved
YES
Sixers miss the playoffs
Resolved
YES
LeBron James plays at least 65 games (>25 mins per game)
Resolved
YES
LeBron James averages at least 20 points AND 8 assists
Resolved
YES
Steph Curry has the highest free throw percentage
Resolved
YES
LeBron James has a higher PPG than Donovan Mitchell
Resolved
YES
Kawhi Leonard plays more than 800 minutes
Resolved
YES
James Harden is top 3 in free throw makes
Resolved
YES
Suns miss the playoffs
Resolved
YES
Evan Mobley wins DPOY

Resolution source is https://www.basketball-reference.com/ and/or official NBA

sources. Please suggest more props in the comments and i'll add them

  • Update 2025-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Resolution Criteria for Wemby:

    • For any market involving Wemby, the resolution will be determined only after he is mathematically eliminated from contention for NBA awards due to his season-ending injury.

  • Update 2025-04-07 (PST): - Regular Season End: The season is considered ended as soon as the final play-in game is played. (AI summary of creator comment)

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BET HERE FOR TMRW GAME https://manifold.markets/bananaLtsnh/lakers-beat-timberwolves-tomorrow @traders

Lakers beat Timberwolves tomorrow?
41% chance. https://www.docsports.com/free-picks/nba/2025/minnesota-timberwolves-vs-los-angeles-lakers-prediction-4-30-2025-preview-and-pick.html Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Los Angeles Lakers defeat the Minnesota Timberwolves in their game on April 30, 2025. If the Timberwolves win or the game is not played on the scheduled date, the market will resolve to "No." Background: The Los Angeles Lakers are set to host the Minnesota Timberwolves at Crypto.com Arena on April 30, 2025, at 7:00 PM PDT. This game is pivotal, as the Timberwolves currently lead the playoff series 3–1, putting the Lakers in a must-win situation to avoid elimination. (as.com) Throughout the series, the Timberwolves have demonstrated strong defensive play, with Rudy Gobert anchoring the paint and Anthony Edwards leading the offense. The Lakers, led by LeBron James and Luka Dončić, have faced challenges in breaking through Minnesota's defense. (reuters.com) In the regular season, the teams split their matchups 2–2, with each team winning their home games. (as.com) The Lakers' home-court advantage and the urgency of the situation may influence their performance in this critical game. Considerations: Injury Reports: Key players' availability, such as Rudy Gobert for the Timberwolves and LeBron James for the Lakers, could significantly impact the game's outcome. Team Momentum: The Timberwolves' current series lead and the Lakers' need to stave off elimination may affect team strategies and performances. Historical Performance: The Lakers' experience in high-pressure playoff situations, particularly with veterans like LeBron James, could play a role in their approach to this game. NBA Schedule Minnesota Timberwolves @ Los Angeles Lakers on Wednesday, Apr 30, 2025 at 07:00 PM PDT

@dlin007 can you help me figure this out @ChinmayTheMathGuy ? i don't trust statmuse

@travis elite sleuthing. thanks man

bought Ṁ2,044 YES

@dlin007 very happy with most of the lines i set, which were mostly random, but especially proud of this line

a lil late, but for the purposes of this market i'll consider the regular season ended as soon as the final play-in game is played (fyi @traders )

doing some partial resolutions but i'm not too dialed in on what needs resolving...please ping me when a market is resolvable @traders

reposted

Wemby is out for the season with 30 games to go so he can't win any NBA awards, but i'll wait till he's mathematically eliminated to resolve any markets involving him

added some token liquidity to get some action going here agian

Luka can't play at least 65 games anymore so he can't win MVP

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