regular season only. resolution source is nba.com or bbref. i reserve the right to make judgement calls if resolution is iffy. if you want more props please suggest them in the comments Update 2026-03-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The SGA leads the league in free throws question resolves based on Free Throws Made (FTM), not Free Throws Attempted. Update 2026-03-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): EPM (Estimated Plus/Minus) will resolve based on actual EPM, not expected EPM.

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Celtics make the playoffs, followed by SGA wins MVP and Warriors miss the playoffs are most likely. See the market for live updates (33 traders, as of Mar 17, 2026).

2025/2026 NBA regular season prop bets

MANIFOLD

2025/2026 NBA regular season prop bets

Ṁ1.3kṀ6.8k

Jun 21

99%

Celtics make the playoffs

95%

SGA wins MVP

93%

Warriors miss the playoffs

82%

Victor Wembanyama plays at least 58 games

81%

Pistons are first seed in the East

79%

SGA has the highest EPM at the end of the season

73%

At least two 70-point+ games

49%

At least one player averages a 50/40/90 shooting season (at least 64 games)

45%

OKC Thunder win less than 66 games

42%

SGA leads the league in total free throws

38%

At least 3 coaches are fired before the playoff starts

38%

Knicks are a top 2 seed in the Eastern conference

37%

Sixers make the playoffs

34%

Jokic finishes top 3 in pts/rebounds/assists (each of, not total)

34%

Alperen Sengun makes an All NBA team

27%

Lakers are a top 3 seed in the Western Conference

19%

Rudy Gobert wins DPOY

18%

Chet Holmgren wins DPOY

15%

Austin Reaves wins MIP

13%

Cooper Flagg outscores Luka's rookie PRA

regular season only. resolution source is nba.com or bbref. i reserve the right to make judgement calls if resolution is iffy. if you want more props please suggest them in the comments

Update 2026-03-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The SGA leads the league in free throws question resolves based on Free Throws Made (FTM), not Free Throws Attempted.