regular season only. resolution source is nba.com or bbref. i reserve the right to make judgement calls if resolution is iffy. if you want more props please suggest them in the comments Update 2026-03-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The SGA leads the league in free throws question resolves based on Free Throws Made (FTM), not Free Throws Attempted. Update 2026-03-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): EPM (Estimated Plus/Minus) will resolve based on actual EPM, not expected EPM.

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, OKC Thunder win less than 66 games, followed by SGA wins MVP and SGA leads the league in total free throws are most likely. See the market for live updates (33 traders, as of Apr 6, 2026).

2025/2026 NBA regular season prop bets

MANIFOLD

2025/2026 NBA regular season prop bets

Ṁ1.3kṀ8.7k

Jun 21

96%

OKC Thunder win less than 66 games

95%

SGA wins MVP

83%

SGA leads the league in total free throws

81%

Warriors miss the playoffs

79%

SGA has the highest EPM at the end of the season

79%

Sixers make the playoffs

49%

At least one player averages a 50/40/90 shooting season (at least 64 games)

37%

Knicks are a top 2 seed in the Eastern conference

34%

Alperen Sengun makes an All NBA team

30%

At least 3 coaches are fired before the playoff starts

25%

Jokic finishes top 3 in pts/rebounds/assists (each of, not total)

18%

Chet Holmgren wins DPOY

13%

Cooper Flagg outscores Luka's rookie PRA

12%

Austin Reaves wins MIP

12%

Rudy Gobert wins DPOY

Lakers are a top 3 seed in the Western Conference

At least 2 players make at least 300 threes

Jokic wins MVP

James Harden leads the league in assists

regular season only. resolution source is nba.com or bbref. i reserve the right to make judgement calls if resolution is iffy. if you want more props please suggest them in the comments

Update 2026-03-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The SGA leads the league in free throws question resolves based on Free Throws Made (FTM), not Free Throws Attempted.