How will I do in gold league this month?
Basic
14
Ṁ6295
resolved Nov 3
Resolved
NO
Top 1 (first place)
Resolved
NO
Top 3
Resolved
NO
Top 5
Resolved
YES
Promote to platinum
Resolved
NO
>5k mana earned
Resolved
YES
>1k mana earned
Resolved
YES
≥0 mana earned
Resolved
NO
<0 mana earned
Resolved
NO
<-1k mana earned
Resolved
NO
<-5k mana earned
Resolved
NO
Demote to silver
Resolved
NO
Bottom 5
Resolved
NO
Bottom 3
Resolved
NO
Bottom 1 (last place)

Inspired by a fun recent market by @Base! I will not bet in this market.

I joined manifold during season 16 (August) and finished 1st in my bronze league with 6997M earned. Promoted to gold.

In season 17 (September) I finished in 14th place with 528M earned. Stayed in gold.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Thanks for playing! If that was fun, come do it again!

bought Ṁ79 NO

Looks like it was 1.5k mana, top 6. https://manifold.markets/leagues/18/gold/calculated-dealers

Congrats on getting plat!

@yetforever Thank you! Resolving :)

Extended since the leagues haven't closed!

@diracdeltafunk I think if you push you still have time to make it to top 5 😂

@Choms some say the league may go on forever (but I think profits for October have stopped updating, things seem to be secretly finalized)

I'm just guessing though, maybe when they officially close the leagues things will recalculate?

reposted

With <24h remaining I am in a reasonable-looking 5th place!

reposted

With <1 week to go, I am currently in 7th place 😱

I just got some capital freed up though! So I'll be trading a bit more aggressively this week.

reposted

With 2 weeks to go, I am now in 6th place :( Been doing too much arbitrage, not enough predicting, I think

@diracdeltafunk Activity > anything. You can keep moving up!

reposted

I think this market is overestimating me a bit, but I am starting off fairly strong this month! Currently in 4th place.

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