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MANIFOLD
How many games will Ding Liren lose at the 2024 Tata Steel Chess Tournament?
22
Ṁ860Ṁ12k
resolved Jan 28
100%99.0%
3
0.1%
0
0.1%
1
0.2%
2
0.6%
4+
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@diadematus This can be resolved now that Ding's tournament is done.

Meta: what is the point of a market like this when it just tracks conventional wisdom?

@SimonKletteraffe yeah, tried to partially resolve it yesterday but the UI looks so confusing so I'm not sure if i can do it without messing everything up. Maybe someone can point me on how to do it?

@diadematus you can't resolve it partially since it's not an unlinked binary

@diadematus 0 can already be resolved negatively since the game today 🙂