Which party will win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?

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100%99.0%

Republican

0.0%Other

1.0%

Democratic

0.0%

Other (Any candidate not running as a Democrat or Republican)

0.0%

Libertarian

0.0%

Green

0.0%

Other (Not Democratic, Republican, Green, or Libertarian)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election Market closes end of day January 6th, 2025 when electoral votes expected to be formally counted and the electoral result announced before a joint session of Congress. Related: Who will be the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee? https://manifold.markets/dglid/who-will-be-the-2024-democratic-pre Who will be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? https://manifold.markets/dglid/who-will-be-the-2024-republican-pre 2024 US Presidential Election community and markets: https://manifold.markets/fold/2024-us-presidential-election https://manifold.markets/fold/2024-us-presidential-election/markets

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#🇺🇸 US Politics

#️ Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

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More presidents than not have been reelected. We don't have a lot of information now beyond the prior.

Might as well add them :)

It is only $1 to add a new answer @Melanie Heisey. And I personally believe that the likelihood of a new party winning is far greater than that of a Libertarian or Green candidate winning.

I would be very amused if someone actually spends the M$10 to put Libertarian or Green up.

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