Who will be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee?
Feb 17, 9:56pm: In the event of more than one answer being correct, this market will resolve to the earliest answer created.
David Glidden answered
Donald Trump
46%
David Glidden answered
Ron DeSantis
35%
Gabrielle answered
Elon Musk
10%
David Glidden answered
Nikki Haley
2%
ben truitt answered
Ben Sasse
1.4%
David Glidden answered
Mike Pence
0.9%
Gabrielle answered
Ted Cruz
0.5%
Gabrielle answered
Donald Trump Jr.
0.5%
Gabrielle answered
Tim Scott
0.3%
Gabrielle answered
Tom Cotton
0.3%
TheSkeward answered
Marco Rubio
0.3%
David Glidden answered
Mike Pompeo
0.3%
Gabrielle answered
Kristi Noem
0.3%
Gabrielle answered
Glenn Youngkin
0.3%

Bolton Bailey answered
Donald Trump
0.3%
TheSkeward answered
Ivanka Trump
0.3%

Bolton Bailey answered
Glenn Youngkin
0.2%

nmehndir answered
Mitt Romney
0.2%
Willem van den Bosch answered
Kanye West
0.1%

Pepe answered
Josh Hawley
0.1%

Pepe answered
Bobby Jindal
0.1%

Pepe answered
Chris Sununu
0.1%

Pepe answered
Phil Scott
0.1%

Pepe answered
Charlie Baker
0.1%

Pepe answered
Larry Hogan
0.1%

Pepe answered
Steven Mnuchin
0.1%
TheSkeward answered
Tucker Carlson
0.1%
TheSkeward answered
Josh Hawley
0.1%
TheSkeward answered
Rick Scott
0.1%
Add your answer
David Glidden answered3 months ago
Donald Trump
46%
David Glidden answered3 months ago
Ron DeSantis
35%
Gabrielle answereda month ago
Elon Musk
10%
Gabrielle bought M$10a month ago
I hope not, but it seems somewhat plausible. He probably won’t, but he’s been getting more concerned about politics recently. If he ran I think there’s a good chance he could get the nomination, especially if Trump doesn’t run.
David Glidden bought M$1a month ago
Fun fact I just learned today: Elon Musk was not born in the US so would not be eligible to run for President unless there was a change to the Constitution.
Gabrielle bought M$1a month ago
On the one hand, that’s a good point. On the other hand, it’s Elon Musk, so I wouldn’t be surprised about anything nowadays.
I suppose technically there’s nothing stopping a *nominee* from being foreign born. :)
David Glidden answered3 months ago
Nikki Haley
2%

Tetraspace bought M$7a month ago
Currently at 7% on electionbettingodds.com

Bolton Bailey bought M$1a month ago
Nate Silver don't steer me wrong
ben truitt answered2 months ago
Ben Sasse
1.4%
David Glidden answered3 months ago
Mike Pence
0.9%
Gabrielle answered3 months ago
Ted Cruz
0.5%
Gabrielle answered3 months ago
Donald Trump Jr.
0.5%
Gabrielle answered3 months ago
Tim Scott
0.3%
Gabrielle answered3 months ago
Tom Cotton
0.3%
TheSkeward answered3 months ago
Marco Rubio
0.3%
David Glidden answered3 months ago
Mike Pompeo
0.3%
Gabrielle answered3 months ago
Kristi Noem
0.3%
Gabrielle answered3 months ago
Glenn Youngkin
0.3%

Bolton Bailey answereda month ago
Donald Trump
0.3%

Bolton Bailey bought M$3a month ago
You can apparently make an option that's the exact same as one that already exists, seems like this should be fixed.
TheSkeward answered3 months ago
Ivanka Trump
0.3%

Bolton Bailey answereda month ago
Glenn Youngkin
0.2%

nmehndir answereda month ago
Mitt Romney
0.2%
Willem van den Bosch answered2 months ago
Kanye West
0.1%
hagi bought M$12 months ago
after trump everything's possible

Pepe answereda month ago
Josh Hawley
0.1%

Pepe answereda month ago
Bobby Jindal
0.1%

Pepe answereda month ago
Chris Sununu
0.1%

Pepe answereda month ago
Phil Scott
0.1%

Pepe answereda month ago
Charlie Baker
0.1%

Pepe answereda month ago
Larry Hogan
0.1%

Pepe answereda month ago
Steven Mnuchin
0.1%
TheSkeward answered3 months ago
Tucker Carlson
0.1%
TheSkeward answered3 months ago
Josh Hawley
0.1%
TheSkeward answered3 months ago
Rick Scott
0.1%
General Comments
@Gabrielle fair point about being the nominee! Would seem like a critical error, but crazy things have happened...
ha @BoltonBailey I was specifically thinking of this market while listening to last night's episode too