Which party will win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
110
2.2kṀ28kresolved Nov 7
100%99.0%
Republican
0.0%Other
1.0%
Democratic
0.0%
Other (Any candidate not running as a Democrat or Republican)
0.0%
Libertarian
0.0%
Green
0.0%
Other (Not Democratic, Republican, Green, or Libertarian)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election
Market closes end of day January 6th, 2025 when electoral votes expected to be formally counted and the electoral result announced before a joint session of Congress.
Related:
Who will be the 2024 Democratic presidential nominee?
https://manifold.markets/dglid/who-will-be-the-2024-democratic-pre
Who will be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee?
https://manifold.markets/dglid/who-will-be-the-2024-republican-pre
2024 US Presidential Election community and markets:
https://manifold.markets/fold/2024-us-presidential-election
https://manifold.markets/fold/2024-us-presidential-election/markets
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It is only $1 to add a new answer @Melanie Heisey. And I personally believe that the likelihood of a new party winning is far greater than that of a Libertarian or Green candidate winning.