When will my son first bring home a sickness from daycare?
Standard
41
Ṁ1409
resolved May 21
100%78%
May
21%
June
1.0%
July
0.9%
August or later

My ~6-month son is starting daycare this week (mid-May). We’re bracing to be perpetually sick.

When will he bring home his first sickness?

Resolves to the first month in which…

  1. He has to stay home from daycare due to an illness OR

  2. my wife feels unwell such that she takes cold medicine OR

  3. I feel unwell such that I take cold medicine,

    regardless of whether we can confirm or not whether we got sick from him specifically.

All months in 2024. May provide updates voluntarily, will provide updates upon request. I won’t trade except to set initial probabilities.

We live in Washington, DC, USA.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S1.00
Sort by:

@traders the sequel is up! I’ll know better than to put answers 4 months out this time… 🤦‍♂️

Well that was fast. Kid is missing daycare today due to pink eye after just one week at daycare. 🌸👁️ Thanks traders for preparing me for this reality!

@dglid Arr I knew it! Shouldn’t have bought that june contrac 😆 Welcome to the world of school-age kids! You will learn to make the most of the days when no-one is sick.

Hope everyone feels better soon!

Kiddo has been dropped off. ✅😭 The countdown begins!

we need far-uvc in daycares

Note: we will be on vacation for 3 days in May when he’d otherwise be in daycare.

Related questions