
When will my son first bring home a sickness from daycare?
41
1kṀ1409resolved May 21
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%78%
May
21%
June
1.0%
July
0.9%
August or later
My ~6-month son is starting daycare this week (mid-May). We’re bracing to be perpetually sick.
When will he bring home his first sickness?
Resolves to the first month in which…
He has to stay home from daycare due to an illness OR
my wife feels unwell such that she takes cold medicine OR
I feel unwell such that I take cold medicine,
regardless of whether we can confirm or not whether we got sick from him specifically.
All months in 2024. May provide updates voluntarily, will provide updates upon request. I won’t trade except to set initial probabilities.
We live in Washington, DC, USA.
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