If Manifold announces real money trading as part of their upcoming pivot, what will be true about it when it launches?
Mini
25
แน€2.4k
Dec 31
93%
Two different balances (real money mana / regular mana)
85%
It launches before the end of 2024
55%
Real Money Politics markets
53%
Only for US users
50%
Real Money Sports markets
36%
Real Money Crypto price markets
35%
For US and non-US users
27%
Only for non-US users
25%
Real Money Death Markets
9%
User resolved markets

All options resolve N/A if Manifold doesn't announce real money trading

Get แน€1,000 play money
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@Simon74fe is this about the launch of spice (i.e. last week) or when cash withdrawals are enabled?

@Ziddletwix It's about when cash withdrawals are enabled for the first users, so far real money has only been announced

@SimonGrayson is this about the launch of spice (i.e. last week) or when cash withdrawals are enabled?

@Ziddletwix Different Simon!

@SimonGrayson lol my bad!

There will be a cryptocurrency

Does the cryptocurrency have to be endorsed by Manifold, or is it sufficient that mana is exchangeable for a cryptocurrency on a 1:1 basis?

Exchangeable for a non-affiliated cryptocurrency would not be enough

bought แน€50 There will be a cryp... NO

@Simon74fe Then it's an easy NO.