If Manifold announces real money trading as part of their upcoming pivot, what will be true about it when it launches?
Mini
25
แน2.4kDec 31
1D
1W
1M
ALL
93%
Two different balances (real money mana / regular mana)
85%
It launches before the end of 2024
55%
Real Money Politics markets
53%
Only for US users
50%
Real Money Sports markets
36%
Real Money Crypto price markets
35%
For US and non-US users
27%
Only for non-US users
25%
Real Money Death Markets
9%
User resolved markets
All options resolve N/A if Manifold doesn't announce real money trading
Get แน1,000 play money
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@Ziddletwix It's about when cash withdrawals are enabled for the first users, so far real money has only been announced
@SimonGrayson is this about the launch of spice (i.e. last week) or when cash withdrawals are enabled?
There will be a cryptocurrency
Related questions
Related questions
When will we have real money trading on Manifold?
Who will start (actively) trading on Manifold in 2024?
Once real-money cashouts are enabled, will Manifold allow its staff to trade?
What will the single largest post-pivot trade on Manifold be in 2024?
Will Manifold house a prediction market service that utilizes real money trades by 2040?
71% chance
Will Manifold actually be able to implement real-money prizes?
In what ways will Manifold be like Fliff, the social sports betting app inspiring the Pivot, by end of year?
If Manifold begins allowing real-money withdrawals, will its accuracy improve?
45% chance
What will Manifold's total mana purchases be in the month after the pivot is implemented and cash payouts enabled?
How will Manifold monetize its business, at the end of 2024?