If Manifold announces real money trading as part of their upcoming pivot, what will be true about it when it launches?
Mini
23
แน1.4kDec 31
1D
1W
1M
ALL
93%
Two different balances (real money mana / regular mana)
68%
It launches before the end of 2024
55%
Real Money Sports markets
44%
Real Money Crypto price markets
43%
For US and non-US users
34%
User resolved markets
32%
Only for non-US users
27%
Real Money Politics markets
26%
Only for US users
25%
Real Money Death Markets
6%
There will be a cryptocurrency
All options resolve N/A if Manifold doesn't announce real money trading
Get แน600 play money
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@Ziddletwix It's about when cash withdrawals are enabled for the first users, so far real money has only been announced
@SimonGrayson is this about the launch of spice (i.e. last week) or when cash withdrawals are enabled?
There will be a cryptocurrency
Related questions
Related questions
When will we have real money trading on Manifold?
Will Manifold launch real money prizes, and still have them at the end of 2024?
Who will start (actively) trading on Manifold in 2024?
Once real-money cashouts are enabled, will Manifold allow its staff to trade?
What will the single largest post-pivot trade on Manifold be in 2024?
Will Manifold house a prediction market service that utilizes real money trades by 2040?
66% chance
In what ways will Manifold be like Fliff, the social sports betting app inspiring the Pivot, by end of year?
Will Manifold actually be able to implement real-money prizes?
If Manifold begins allowing real-money withdrawals, will its accuracy improve?
48% chance
What will Manifold's total mana purchases be in the month after the pivot is implemented and cash payouts enabled?