If Manifold announces real money trading as part of their upcoming pivot, what will be true about it when it launches?
28
1.1kṀ7377
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
YES
Real Money Politics markets
Resolved
YES
Only for US users
Resolved
YES
Two different balances (real money mana / regular mana)
Resolved
YES
It launches before the end of 2024
Resolved
NO
Real Money Sports markets
Resolved
NO
Real Money Crypto price markets
Resolved
NO
Only for non-US users
Resolved
NO
For US and non-US users
Resolved
NO
User resolved markets
Resolved
NO
There will be a cryptocurrency
Resolved
NO
Real Money Death Markets

All options resolve N/A if Manifold doesn't announce real money trading

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bought Ṁ50 NO

@Simon74fe withdrawals have been enabled

@Simon74fe is this about the launch of spice (i.e. last week) or when cash withdrawals are enabled?

@Ziddletwix It's about when cash withdrawals are enabled for the first users, so far real money has only been announced

@SimonGrayson is this about the launch of spice (i.e. last week) or when cash withdrawals are enabled?

@Ziddletwix Different Simon!

@SimonGrayson lol my bad!

Does the cryptocurrency have to be endorsed by Manifold, or is it sufficient that mana is exchangeable for a cryptocurrency on a 1:1 basis?

Exchangeable for a non-affiliated cryptocurrency would not be enough

bought Ṁ50 NO

@Simon74fe Then it's an easy NO.

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