If Manifold announces real money trading as part of their upcoming pivot, what will be true about it when it launches?
22
179
1.1k
Dec 31
91%
Two different balances (real money mana / regular mana)
88%
It launches before the end of 2024
44%
Real Money Crypto price markets
43%
For US and non-US users
34%
User resolved markets
32%
Only for non-US users
27%
Real Money Politics markets
26%
Only for US users
25%
Real Money Death Markets
25%
Real Money Sports markets
6%
There will be a cryptocurrency

All options resolve N/A if Manifold doesn't announce real money trading

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@Simon74fe is this about the launch of spice (i.e. last week) or when cash withdrawals are enabled?

@Ziddletwix It's about when cash withdrawals are enabled for the first users, so far real money has only been announced

@SimonGrayson is this about the launch of spice (i.e. last week) or when cash withdrawals are enabled?

@Ziddletwix Different Simon!

@SimonGrayson lol my bad!

There will be a cryptocurrency

Does the cryptocurrency have to be endorsed by Manifold, or is it sufficient that mana is exchangeable for a cryptocurrency on a 1:1 basis?

Exchangeable for a non-affiliated cryptocurrency would not be enough

bought Ṁ50 There will be a cryp... NO

@Simon74fe Then it's an easy NO.

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