FWIW when I created the market on penalties I was looking at these rules

“Penalties may be issued for breaking rules -- or for regurgitation.”

“Excess crumbs are weighed and deducted from scores if necessary.”

I would not count Kobayashi’s 1 dog point reduction for crumbs as making the market resolve Yes

https://www.cnet.com/tech/services-and-software/how-to-watch-joey-chestnut-vs-kobayashi-in-unfinished-beef-on-netflix/

My heart says Kobayashi, but my head says Chestnut.