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Happy Sunday folks. The biased coin was selected. Thank you for your participation in this market.

If you like this market, you might checkout the market linked below. Happy trading.

Which coin was selected (intermediate mode)

Which coin was selected? There are three simulated coins: Coin 1: .50 probability of heads Coin 2: .60 probability of heads Coin 3: .40 probability of heads I will randomly select a coin and flip it 1-3 times per day until 25 flips have been performed. The coins are not equally likely to be selected. Coin 1 is selected with probability .50, whereas coins 2 and 3 are selected with probability .25. I will not participate in this market. Which coin was selected? Notes I am learning the manifold interface. So I accidentally used the default setting which created an "other" option. My apologies! To be clear, the market will not resolve to other. Outcomes 1. Tails 2. Heads 3. Heads 4. Tails 5. Heads 6. Heads 7. Tails 8. Tails 9. Heads 10. Tails 11. Heads 12. Tails

The outcome of the final coin flip is tails. The market will close tomorrow.

Is the tenth outcome real or is it in the description by some mistake? (You didn't write a comment about it unlike the others)

@StepanBakhmarin thanks for alerting me to the problem. The tenth outcome is correct. I tried to repost to followers but it didn't work the first time.

The outcome of the ninth coin flip is tails. See the description for the full list of outcomes.

The outcome of the eighth coin flip is tails. See the description for the full list of outcomes.

The outcome of the seventh coin flip is tails. See the description for the full list of outcomes.

The outcome of the sixth coin flip is heads. See the description for the full list of outcomes.

I'm cross-listing for those who might be interested:

https://manifold.markets/dfish/which-coin-was-selected-intermediat-0uU6zh2ScU

The outcome of the fifth coin flip is heads. See the description for the full list of outcomes.

Unless there are strong objections, I will increase the update frequency to once per day. That seems to be the right cadence.

Give this comment a like if you want me to update this market daily. I will switch to daily updates if the like count is 5 or more.

The outcome of the fourth coin flip is heads. See the description for the full list of outcomes.

The outcome of the third coin flip is tails. See the description for the full list of outcomes.

The outcome of the second coin flip is heads. See the description for the full list of outcomes.

The outcome of the first coin flip is heads. See the description for the full list of outcomes.

When will the first flip be reported, and how often will flips occur? Cool market imo, fun

@PeterScheidt I'm glad you like the concept. I will post the result of the first coin flip tomorrow. My goal is to post the result of a new flip every couple of days to give the market time to converge on a value.