Which coin was selected?
There are three simulated coins:
Coin 1: .50 probability of heads
Coin 2: .60 probability of heads
Coin 3: .40 probability of heads
I will randomly select a coin and flip it 1-3 times per day until 25 flips have been performed. The coins are not equally likely to be selected. Coin 1 is selected with probability .50, whereas coins 2 and 3 are selected with probability .25. I will not participate in this market. Which coin was selected?
Notes
I am learning the manifold interface. So I accidentally used the default setting which created an "other" option. My apologies! To be clear, the market will not resolve to other.
Outcomes
1. Tails
2. Heads
3. Heads
4. Tails
5. Heads
6. Heads
7. Tails
8. Tails
9. Heads
10. Tails
11. Heads
12. Tails
13. Tails
14. Tails
15. Heads
16. Heads
17. Tails
18. Heads
19. Tails
20. Tails
21. Heads
22. Tails
23. Heads
24. Heads
25. Heads
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ57 | |
| 2 | Ṁ16 | |
| 3 | Ṁ4 |
Thank you all for your participation in this market. You have succeeded in your intermediate level challenge and the reverend would be proud.
I cordially invite you to setup your game in a new market. Invite your friends and family, including your me-maw and grand-pappy. Be sure to bring a spittoon. It will be a regular hootenanny.
@dfish I guess the message and edit about the 23rd flip were reverted because they happened during the Haunting of the Angy Rage Quitter?