Will Turkey be a democracy by end of 2025?
Plus
13
Ṁ7082026
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves according to the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index. If the report stops being published, I reserve the right to use an alternative democracy index. Since the 2022 report was published on February 1, 2023, I will consider reports published up to 2 months into 2026.
"Flawed democracy" counts.
See also:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Turkey be at least partly free by end of 2025?
19% chance
Will Turkey hold full membership in both NATO and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization by the end of 2024?
20% chance
Will the Türkiye parliament's fight club have another public exhibition by the end of 2024?
31% chance
Will Turkey be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?
26% chance
Will Turkey have an economic collapse by 2026?
35% chance
Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?
37% chance
Will Turkey become more authoritarian in 2024?
83% chance
Will Turkey hold a snap general election in 2024?
13% chance
Will India be a democracy in 2050?
58% chance
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan be the President of Turkey on January 1, 2025?
95% chance