Will Turkey be a democracy by end of 2025? | Manifold

Will Turkey be a democracy by end of 2025?

17

1kṀ1478

2026

9%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves according to the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index. If the report stops being published, I reserve the right to use an alternative democracy index. Since the 2022 report was published on February 1, 2023, I will consider reports published up to 2 months into 2026.

"Flawed democracy" counts.

See also:

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

Year 1 (of 3) complete: Turkey's score has dropped from 4.35 to 4.33. Two years remain until the conclusion of this market.

currently at 4.35; down from 5.76 in 2012. Needs a 6.00 to resolve YES.

Related questions

Will Turkey be at least partly free by end of 2025?

Turkey holds early parliamentary elections before December 31, 2025

Will Turkey have an economic collapse by 2026?

Early presidential elections called in Turkey before December 31, 2025

Early presidential elections held in Turkey before December 31, 2025

Will Turkey become more authoritarian in 2025?

Erdogan president of Turkey through 2025?

Will Turkey be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

Will Syria hold legitimate elections before the end of 2025?

Will Israel attack Turkey or Iraq by the end of 2025?

Related questions

Will Turkey be at least partly free by end of 2025?

Will Turkey become more authoritarian in 2025?

Turkey holds early parliamentary elections before December 31, 2025

Erdogan president of Turkey through 2025?

Will Turkey have an economic collapse by 2026?

Will Turkey be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

Early presidential elections called in Turkey before December 31, 2025

Will Syria hold legitimate elections before the end of 2025?

Early presidential elections held in Turkey before December 31, 2025

Will Israel attack Turkey or Iraq by the end of 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules