Will Turkey be a democracy by end of 2025? | Manifold

Will Turkey be a democracy by end of 2025?

15

1kṀ928

2026

13%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves according to the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index. If the report stops being published, I reserve the right to use an alternative democracy index. Since the 2022 report was published on February 1, 2023, I will consider reports published up to 2 months into 2026.

"Flawed democracy" counts.

See also:

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

Year 1 (of 3) complete: Turkey's score has dropped from 4.35 to 4.33. Two years remain until the conclusion of this market.

currently at 4.35; down from 5.76 in 2012. Needs a 6.00 to resolve YES.

Related questions

Will Turkey become more authoritarian in 2024?

Will Turkey have an economic collapse by 2026?

Will Turkey Default on Its Debt By The End of 2024?

Will Syria hold legitimate elections before the end of 2025?

Will Erdogan be president of Turkey at the start of 2029?

Will Turkey be at least partly free by end of 2025?

Will Turkey be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

Will Israel attack Turkey or Iraq by the end of 2025?

Will Turkey be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Related questions

Will Turkey become more authoritarian in 2024?

Will Turkey be at least partly free by end of 2025?

Will Turkey have an economic collapse by 2026?

Will Turkey be rated a free country by Freedom House in 2028?

Will Turkey Default on Its Debt By The End of 2024?

Will Israel attack Turkey or Iraq by the end of 2025?

Will Syria hold legitimate elections before the end of 2025?

Will Turkey be a member state of the EU on January 1st 2032?

Will Erdogan be president of Turkey at the start of 2029?

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules