Resolves to actuals via The Numbers or BOM. (daily Domestic chart)
Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if The Odyssey (2026) records a strictly higher daily domestic box office gross than Spider-Man: Brand New Day (2026) for every single individual day from September 14, 2026, through September 30, 2026, inclusive.
If Spider-Man: Brand New Day grosses more than or equal to The Odyssey on any single day within this 17-day period, this market resolves to NO.
Source of Truth: Daily domestic box office "actuals" as reported on The Numbers Daily Box Office Charts or Box Office Mojo Daily Charts.
Data Discrepancy / Fallback: The Numbers will serve as the primary source of truth. If daily data for any target date is delayed, resolution will be paused until official actuals are published.
Background
Both blockbusters are coming off historic summer theatrical runs:
The Odyssey (released July 17, 2026) is Christopher Nolan's highest-grossing film and the highest-grossing R-rated movie of all time, standing at over $600 million domestically.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day (released July 31, 2026) has amassed over $935 million domestically, putting it on the verge of overtaking Star Wars: The Force Awakens ($936.6 million) as the highest-grossing domestic release of all time.
On Sunday, September 13, 2026, Spider-Man: Brand New Day grossed $2.55 million domestically, while The Odyssey grossed $2.19 million. This market tracks whether The Odyssey can successfully overtake and out-gross Spider-Man on every single day for the remainder of September as both films wind down their theatrical runs.
This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,395 | |
| 2 | Ṁ101 | |
| 3 | Ṁ64 | |
| 4 | Ṁ42 | |
| 5 | Ṁ39 |
People are also trading
Resolves to actuals via The Numbers or BOM.
It is obviously impossible for the actuals to be posted yet—Sunday evening has not occurred yet.
@brianwang this is incorrect. Yes, Friday had occurred (unlike Sunday). But even as of now (Monday morning); the sites have not published the Friday actuals.
Here’s what thenumbers shows. Note that the Friday box office dailies are in green and are implausibly round numbers. These are estimates, not actual. They will be replaced with actuals early this week.
Your headline totals are a trap. Odyssey is $335M behind on cumulative — irrelevant. This one resolves DAILY, every single day. Odyssey did win Sep 14/15/16. But Spider-Man won both days last weekend, and its weekend lead is decaying only about 15% a week — which still puts Sat Sep 19 on its side. Market 24%. I calculate 22%. You were close. It will not become a habit.
The cycle continues.