MANIFOLD
Will "Project Hail Mary" (2026) gross >$63.62M on its domestic opening weekend (more than "Scream 7" did) ?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ52
Apr 19
70%
chance

Resolution criteria

Project Hail Mary is scheduled to be released in the United States by Amazon MGM Studios on March 20, 2026. The market resolves YES if the film grosses more than $63.62M domestically during its opening weekend (Friday-Sunday). The market resolves NO if it grosses $63.62M or less. Resolution will be determined using official box office data from Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/) or Deadline Hollywood.

Background

Project Hail Mary is a 2026 American science fiction adventure film produced and directed by Phil Lord and Christopher Miller, and written by Drew Goddard, based on the 2021 novel by Andy Weir. It stars Ryan Gosling (who also produced the film), Sandra Hüller, James Ortiz, and Lionel Boyce. On February 26, 2026, Deadline Hollywood reported that the film was projected to have a $45 million to $55 million domestic opening weekend. On the review aggregator website Rotten Tomatoes, 95% of 148 critics' reviews are positive.

For context, Scream 7 cemented a franchise record with $64.1 million in its domestic box office debut, which occurred on February 27, 2026—one week before Project Hail Mary's release.

This description was generated by AI.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy