Resolution criteria

This market resolves to whichever film receives its theatrical release first. Resolution will be determined by official theatrical release dates from studios or verified entertainment databases such as Box Office Mojo or IMDb. The market resolves to "Other" if none of these films are released by the end of 2030 or if 2 or more movies will be released on the same day.

Background

Zootopia 3 is in early development with a projected 2030 release date, though directors are currently in the nascent stages of a 5-year production cycle. Top Gun 3 is expected to release around 2029, but there is no feasible way it comes out until 2028 at the earliest, with 2029 being more realistic due to director Joseph Kosinski's other commitments. Mamma Mia 3 has yet to be officially confirmed, though if filming occurs in summer 2026, the film could release as early as spring 2027. Five Nights at Freddy's 3 is reportedly eyeing a 2027 release, with filming expected to begin six months after FNAF 2's December 2025 release.

Considerations

Mamma Mia 3 and FNAF 3 have the earliest potential release windows (2027), while Top Gun 3 and Zootopia 3 are projected for 2028-2030. However, none of these films have confirmed release dates. Production delays are common in Hollywood—Zootopia 2 took nine years to follow the original—so actual release timelines may shift significantly. Additionally, Mamma Mia 3 remains unconfirmed despite cast enthusiasm, and FNAF 3 has no official announcement despite production rumors.