Will Apple stock (AAPL) fully break $190 before $170? (again)
19
210
330
resolved Nov 22
Resolved
YES

Last price: 2023-Nov-21 $190.64 (day’s low $189.74)

(will try to update meaningful moves after Nasdaq close)

Resolves after the first regular (9:30am-4pm ET) or half-day (1pm early close around some US holidays) Nasdaq trading session since market creation (2023-Nov-08) during which the price stays above $190 (YES) or below $170 (NO) for the whole session. In other words, the first time one of these is the case after Nasdaq close:

Resolves YES if AAPL intraday low > $190

Resolves NO if AAPL intraday high < $170

Will extend closing date as needed. Reference is publicly-quoted intraday high/low, adjusted for any future stock splits (e.g. if it splits 2:1 at $180 then quoted prices next day would be $90 post split but would not cause it to resolve NO since reference price for this market would be x2)

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bought Ṁ6,500 of YES

Day’s low of 190.82 resolves YES

predicted NO

Extends due to 189.74 low, I will extend day by day as the price is still near/above the trigger.

bought Ṁ10 of NO

@deagol The NASDAQ closes early at 1pm on Friday, November 24th. Does that still count as a "regular session" which could cause this market or the successor market to close?

predicted NO

@DanielTilkin Yes, that session counts. Thanks for the clarification.

sold Ṁ0 of YES

Pulled forth the close as it could happen tomorrow. As always, this is just an attention calling tactic and nothing’s changed in the criteria. Of course, will extend if tomorrow sees a low of 190 or lower.

predicted YES

And once again nothing stops us from looking ahead:

Hedge Trim day possibly for tech stocks today.

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