Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028? | Manifold

Will Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize by the end of 2028?

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opened a Ṁ347 YES at 10% order

Who wants to fill my exit order at 10%

@Bayesian Will you fill my order please? I have a low balance

bought Ṁ20 YES

Gaza ceasefire and Ukraine peace deal will be pretty promising.

A trilateral military reduction, while unlikely, would also be worthy.

Question is whether his disregard for international norms is fatal to it.

bought Ṁ50 YES

I want to trust his promises 🤣

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Will Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Price if there's peace in Ukraine?

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Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?

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Related questions

Will Trump win the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize iff there is a ceasefire in Ukraine before 2026? (or not if there isn't)

Will Donald Trump win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Does Trump receive Ig Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

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Will Trump win Nobel Piss Prize 2026? [Read description]

Will Trump win the 2026 Nobel Peace Price if there's peace in Ukraine?

Will Donald Trump live till the end of 2028?

Will Donald Trump be elected President in 2028?

Will Donald Trump survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Will Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)

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