Background
Hunter Biden, President Joe Biden's son, faces multiple federal charges including tax-related crimes and a firearms violation. Former President Donald Trump, in recent interviews, has suggested he would be open to pardoning Hunter Biden if re-elected, despite being a political opponent of the Biden family.
Current Status
The White House has stated that President Joe Biden will not pardon his son. Trump's comments about potentially pardoning Hunter Biden came during his 2024 presidential campaign, though he has not made any firm commitments.
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve as YES if Donald Trump issues a presidential pardon to Hunter Biden at any point in the future. This requires:
Trump must become president again
The pardon must be officially issued while Trump is in office
The pardon must specifically cover Hunter Biden
The pardon must be formally documented in federal records
The market will resolve as NO if:
Trump never becomes president again
Trump becomes president but does not pardon Hunter Biden during his term(s)
Trump only issues a commutation rather than a full pardon
Things to Consider
A pardon can only be issued by a sitting president
Presidential pardons can be issued preemptively, before any conviction
Trump would need to win the 2024 election (or a future election) to have the power to issue pardons
Hunter Biden's legal situation and charges could change before any potential pardon
Political considerations may influence Trump's decision differently once in office versus as a candidate