Donald Trump is set to feature on The Joe Rogan Experience.
Resolves based on Trump's odds on https://electionbettingodds.com, comparing 6 hours after the episode is published with the most recently plotted odds before it was published, as per the chart data.
Resolves "Good for Trump" if his odds go up by 1.5% or more (e.g. from 57.1% to 58.6%)
Resolves "Bad for Trump" if his odds go down by 1.5% or more
Resolves "No significant effect" otherwise
Resolves N/A if Trump does not feature on JRE before Nov 5
For comparison, after the Trump v Harris debate his odds went down by about 4%.
1,000
3.00YouTube video uploaded at 2024-10-26T1:41:20Z: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hBMoPUAeLnY
Seems to be where it was published first. In that case:
Most recently plotted odds before this: 60.8% Trump at Oct 25, 9:24:14 PM (EDT)
This will be compared with the earliest data point plotted after Oct 26, 3:41:20 AM (EDT)